Intriguing transportation possibilities under an NDP government
None of us have any idea of when the NDP will form a
minority government in Victoria, but the agreement signed last week by NDP
leader John Horgan and Green leader Andrew Weaver indicates it will happen. Now that the legislature has been called back (it will begin sitting on June 22), it's a fair guess that an NDP minority government will take power in late June or early July.
That means some significant changes in the transportation
realm, one of the hot button issues that attracted votes for both parties in
Surrey and Delta. The NDP was the prime beneficiary, going from three seats in
Surrey to seven NDP MLAs representing Surrey and Delta in the provincial
legislature. This compares to four BC Liberals. Attention to transportation issues also helped the NDP win the two Maple Ridge seats.
The agreement signed by Horgan and Weaver basically endorses
the Mayors’ Council position on transportation, which calls for substantial
spending on new rapid transit lines, more buses and replacement of the Pattullo
Bridge. Given that TransLink has very limited ability to raise capital for
these projects, the mayors also want access to more funding from the province.
They have long called for a share of carbon tax revenues,
and the NDP-Green agreement calls for the carbon tax to rise annually. This could
mean substantial funds for transportation, should the government agree to that
request.
Federal funds have already assured that the first phase of
the Surrey LRT project between Newton and Guildford has the green light. If the
province moves quickly to find additional funds for TransLink, it could mean
that the second Surrey rapid transit line down Fraser Highway will be built
sooner than is now projected. Whether it will be SkyTrain or LRT remains
undecided.
The Green Party opposed the BC Liberal and NDP plans to
respectively reduce or eliminate bridge tolls. However, Horgan said after the agreement
was signed that tolls will be eliminated in the first NDP budget. The Greens
will likely speak up against that provision. However, the three Green MLAs have
pledged to support the budget, so the government will not fall on that issue.
The elimination of tolls on the Port Mann and Golden Ears
bridges will be very welcome news for South Fraser residents who use either of
the two bridges regularly, or go out of their way to avoid them. It will bring back more normal traffic flows, which
will hopefully ease some of the pressure on the Pattullo and Alex Fraser
bridges, and it will leave more money in the pockets of people who could really
use it.
The new tolling policy raises some interesting questions
about the new Pattullo Bridge. It is supposed to be a toll bridge, as the owner
TransLink has no ability to pay for it otherwise (as was the case with the
Golden Ears). Will the province assume the existing capital obligations on the Golden
Ears and future capital obligations for the new Pattullo? Will it take over the
two bridges? Or will road pricing and additional revenue sources, perhaps from
the carbon tax, pay for the costs of the bridges?
One planned major transportation improvement likely will not
go ahead, at least in the near future. It is quite likely that work will be
stopped on the planned Deas Island bridge, which was to replace the Massey Tunnel.
Virtually every mayor in the region, with the notable exception of Delta Mayor
Lois Jackson, has opposed the planned new toll bridge, saying it is unnecessary
and out of line with regional growth and transportation plans.
The NDP government will quite likely pull the plug on that
project, and the Greens will concur wholeheartedly. While work has started,
thus far it is of a very preliminary nature. Putting a halt to the project
likely won’t cost taxpayers very much at this stage.
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