Volatility key word to describe campaigns in Surrey and Langley
Volatility is the reigning description of the municipal election campaigns in Surrey and Langley, thus far.
In Surrey, it appears there is some attempt underway to consolidate
slates, as at least six of them planned to run candidates for Surrey council in
October.
Doug Elford, president of Surrey Community Alliance, which
had five announced candidates for council and two for school board, has left
SCA. He will run for council with the Safe Surrey Coalition slate being put together by former mayor
Doug McCallum.
As Elford was among SCA’s most prominent candidates, due to
his activism in the Newton community, this was a body blow to SCA. Campaign
managers Gord Savard and Sharon Goldberg said in a release sent out Aug. 11
that SCA is withdrawing from the race.
Imtiaz Popat, one of the council candidates, said “we are
looking at other options to continue our campaign.” At this point, it isn’t
clear if the six remaining candidates will run as independents, step out of
race, or find another slate.
The reality is that six slates contesting a municipal
election in a city the size of Surrey is very confusing for voters. If each
slate ran eight candidates for council, that would add up to 48 candidates for
starters – just for the eight councillor positions. That number would not
include any independents. It is quite likely that there will be more than 50
names on the ballot for council in the October election.
Having six slates also makes it very hard for each slate to
get its message put. To run in a city the size of Surrey and actually connect
with voters, a large amount of money is needed to pay for targeted advertising,
polling, signs and many other details that are part of campaigns. Savard and
Goldberg said SCA was nowhere near the $30,000 in donations they felt was
necessary to take care of pre-election expenses.
Raising money is much harder in this election, as candidates
and slates can’t accept donations from businesses or unions. It is very hard to
get many individuals to contribute to municipal campaigns. Donations aren’t
even tax-deductible, unlike donations to federal and provincial campaigns.
While the ruling Surrey First slate has some problems of its
own, it has a huge fiscal advantage. Veteran councillor Tom Gill is running
with three first-term councillors at this point in time. Other Surrey First councillors are either retiring or running
with a different slate. Councillor Bruce Hayne is running for mayor, with
longtime councillor Barbara Steele running for council as part of the Surrey Integrity Now slate he is
putting together.
Surrey First undoubtedly collected hundreds of thousands in
donations before the new campaign rules were enacted last year. In 2014, it spent
more than $1 million on its campaign. Most of the money came from developers
and other people in the real estate business.
Name recognition usually is a very powerful factor in
winning a council seat. This is particularly true for the councillor positions,
as candidates for mayor get a lot of attention and thus have more name
recognition. They also have many fewer opponents.
The moving and shaking in the backrooms in Surrey will continue
over the next month or so, but by early September, voters should have some idea
just how many candidates they will be choosing from.
Meanwhile, in the race for Surrey Board of Education, there
are already 14 candidates from four slates running for the six Surrey seats.
This includes the six incumbent trustees from Surrey First Education.
Independent Laurae McNally is running for another term in
White Rock, which has one seat on the board. She is the longest-serving
politician in Surrey and White Rock by far, and her years of experience have
been very helpful to the board as it continues to do its best to deal with the
pressures placed on the education system by Surrey’s unceasing growth.
Here's a link to the list of candidates for Surrey council and board of education, as of Aug. 17.
Only one other local politician has more experience. Delta
Mayor Lois Jackson is stepping down after more than 45 years on the local
political scene. In Delta, there are already 26 announced candidates – with
three very well-known candidates running for mayor. I will do a post on the Delta election in the next few weeks.
In Langley, recent developments show that there is a lot of candidate volatility. The latest list of Delta candidates can be found here.
When former Langley City mayor Peter Fassbender announced July
30 that he was going to seek his old job back, it didn’t take long for one of
the other candidates for mayor to back off. Paul Albrecht, who is finishing his
first term as a councillor, announced Aug. 3 he would instead run for
councillor again.
Albrecht, who ran unsuccessfully several times before
winning a seat in 2014, is showing more pragmatism than politicians often do.
He would rather be at the table making decisions than on the outside looking
in. Four years is a long time to wait for the next election. He should have a
better chance at retaining a councillor’s seat.
On Aug. 15, Langley Township Councillor Kim Richter, who
announced in November she would run for mayor against incumbent Jack Froese,
also showed a pragmatic streak. She is no longer running for mayor, but instead
is seeking a councillor’s seat again.
Her announcement on Facebook received a lot of positive
feedback from her supporters. A common sentiment was that they would rather her
voice was at the table. Richter does have a reputation for bringing up issues
that other councillors are often reluctant to touch, and many voters appreciate
that.
In some ways, she is like the late Muriel Arnason, who was
legendary for taking provocative stances and bringing up issues that no one
else was paying attention to. In her
earliest days as a Township councillor (she was the first woman ever elected to
council), she was often vilified by some of her fellow (male) councillors.
Often their retorts to her were personal and gender-based, which would be a complete
no-no in today’s political climate.
Both announcements will have a significant ripple effect.
Some of the candidates who have announced already will now be realizing that
there is one less “open” seat – one vacated by a sitting member of council. In
Langley Township, it appears that seven of the eight incumbents are running
again, although not all have announced their intentions yet. In Langley City,
it appears that at least five of the six councillors are running again. First-term
Councillor Val van den Broek is still in the mayor’s race, and is the only one
seeking a different office at this point in time.
In addition, two former City councillors who stepped aside
in 2014 are running again – Teri James and Rosemary Wallace, who has been a
school trustee for the past four years. As the city election results are often
very close, it is entirely possible that several incumbents could lose their
seats this year.
In the Township, a number of newcomers have stated they are seeking
council seats. If there is only one “open” seat (Councillor Chartlie Fox is not
running again), there will be very stiff competition. The incumbents usually
have an edge, but as in the City, two former councillors are seeking to get
back on. Steve Ferguson and Bev Dornan were both defeated in 2014.
This year’s municipal election is very different from all
those which have gone before. It is the first with rigid spending limits and a
prohibition on donations from businesses and unions. Candidates are limited in
how much of their campaigns they can self-fund. The election is, for the first
time, taking place in October and candidates generally have more questions than
answers about how and when to start vigorously campaigning.
As for the Langley Board of Education election, there have
been many rumours about challengers to the existing trustees, but little of
substance has been publicly announced. It is entirely possible that the race
for trustee will be the most hard-fought of the three separate local government
campaigns, due to controversy over the sexual orientation and gender identity
(SOGI) curriculum.
I think that Jack Froese will have some one run against him.There is behind the scenes another giving serious thought.We could see a change this time with all the shake up that is happening all over
ReplyDeleteWe should get as many Police officers as compared to Vancouver per population. Surrey Candidatea for Council 2018
ReplyDelete